July 3, 2025 (~1:18 p.m. CDT): A Flood Watch was issued for south-central Texas, including Kerr County, based on radar and model data predicting heavy rainfall through 7 a.m. on July 4. The watch highlighted the risk of flash flooding in low-lying areas and along rivers.

Texans were caught with deadly rising waters in the middle of the night, leaving many to question the forecast and the alerts. Here’s a look at the timeline.

For days before catastrophic floods left parts of Central Texas inundated, the National Weather Service was tracking the chance of rain.

After deadly floodwaters swept through Central Texas, there are questions about the timeline of weather alerts and possible gaps in the warning system.

The death toll from the devastating Texas floods has risen to over 110 people and at least 173 remain missing. Former NOAA Administrator Richard Spinrad joins Ana Cabrera to break down the timeline of the flood alerts and to provide more insight on response.

FOX 26 Meteorologist Allison Gargaro walks us through the timeline of watches and warnings from the National Weather Service as the deadly flooding in Kerr County and Central Texas unfolded.

In this particular case, we have seen absolutely nothing to suggest that current staffing or budget issues within NOAA and the NWS played any role at all in this event,” Houston-based

Along with a flooding risk, storms could produce isolated 50-60 mph wind gusts and quarter-sized hail. The tornado risk is extremely low because of a cold front boundary to our north and a couple of outflow boundaries. Joseph says the tornado index for the severe weather risk zone is 1 out of 10.